Aaron Dishner @MooninPapi

This is why I care about resistance zones and fast-line context before chasing a move. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

When Bitcoin dominance and stablecoin dominance rise together, alts can get hit hard. Here’s how I’m reading that setup. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

1/ BTC is bouncing, but this still looks like a slow-motion dead cat bounce The key is Monday’s low just above $62k If that breaks, I’m watching for BTC to slip back below $60k fast

5/ ALTs are fragile across the board SOL, ADA, LINK, AVAX, SHIB, CRO, PEPE, AAVE, and ETC all have fresh weekly breakdown pressure H’s 85% exploit dump is the reminder: protect profits

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I’m still watching Ethereum’s bear-flag structure here. The 1073 target and weekly context still matter. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

Bitcoin is still failing to close above TBO resistance, and I am calling this a dead cat bounce rather than any real recovery. The 62,408 level is the line in the sand: one quick flush below it and I fully expect price to lose the 60,000 support zone and head much lower. Volume is not showing the kind of capitulation needed to mark a real bottom, and on balance volume combined with the TBO trending breakout indicator are both painting a massively bearish picture across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the total market cap. On the macro side, the dollar opened higher Monday and Bitcoin dominance is ticking back up alongside stablecoin dominance, which is a nasty combination for altcoins. My WTI short confirmed a TBO open short and is already near 6% in profit. Gold and silver are both flashing TBO close long signals on the weekly, which I read as warnings to shave some profit on the next bounce to the fast line rather than panic selling outright. S&P futures, Nasdaq, and the FANG index are all in bearish consolidation, and the VIX established a fresh pivot high Monday worth watching. For individual picks I cover Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token, and follow up on the H token collapse. On the stock side I run through ARM Holdings, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris Energy, KEEL, Applied Digital, SOFI, CoreWeave, ACN, TOSERV, and Marvel. As always, details on our courses, the TBO indicator, and the Better Traders journal are linked below. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Intro and voice update 02:15 Bitcoin TBO resistance and dead cat bounce 07:30 Ethereum doji candle and bear flag targets 12:00 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance, and Bitcoin dominance 16:30 Dollar, Euro, and USD/JPY commentary 20:00 S&P futures, Nasdaq, FANG, Nvidia, and VIX 24:30 WTI oil short and commodities overview 29:00 Gold, silver, platinum, and Pax G weekly signals 34:00 Coin picks: Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token 41:00 H token collapse and viewer coin picks 46:30 Stock picks: ARM, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris, CoreWeave, Marvel 52:00 Better Traders resources and outro

Bitcoin is still failing to close above TBO resistance, and I am calling this a dead cat bounce rather than any real recovery. The 62,408 level is the line in the sand: one quick flush below it and I fully expect price to lose the 60,000 support zone and head much lower. Volume is not showing the kind of capitulation needed to mark a real bottom, and on balance volume combined with the TBO trending breakout indicator are both painting a massively bearish picture across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the total market cap. On the macro side, the dollar opened higher Monday and Bitcoin dominance is ticking back up alongside stablecoin dominance, which is a nasty combination for altcoins. My WTI short confirmed a TBO open short and is already near 6% in profit. Gold and silver are both flashing TBO close long signals on the weekly, which I read as warnings to shave some profit on the next bounce to the fast line rather than panic selling outright. S&P futures, Nasdaq, and the FANG index are all in bearish consolidation, and the VIX established a fresh pivot high Monday worth watching. For individual picks I cover Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token, and follow up on the H token collapse. On the stock side I run through ARM Holdings, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris Energy, KEEL, Applied Digital, SOFI, CoreWeave, ACN, TOSERV, and Marvel. As always, details on our courses, the TBO indicator, and the Better Traders journal are linked below. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Intro and voice update 02:15 Bitcoin TBO resistance and dead cat bounce 07:30 Ethereum doji candle and bear flag targets 12:00 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance, and Bitcoin dominance 16:30 Dollar, Euro, and USD/JPY commentary 20:00 S&P futures, Nasdaq, FANG, Nvidia, and VIX 24:30 WTI oil short and commodities overview 29:00 Gold, silver, platinum, and Pax G weekly signals 34:00 Coin picks: Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token 41:00 H token collapse and viewer coin picks 46:30 Stock picks: ARM, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris, CoreWeave, Marvel 52:00 Better Traders resources and outro

Bitcoin is still failing to close above TBO resistance, and I am calling this a dead cat bounce rather than any real recovery. The 62,408 level is the line in the sand: one quick flush below it and I fully expect price to lose the 60,000 support zone and head much lower. Volume is not showing the kind of capitulation needed to mark a real bottom, and on balance volume combined with the TBO trending breakout indicator are both painting a massively bearish picture across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the total market cap. On the macro side, the dollar opened higher Monday and Bitcoin dominance is ticking back up alongside stablecoin dominance, which is a nasty combination for altcoins. My WTI short confirmed a TBO open short and is already near 6% in profit. Gold and silver are both flashing TBO close long signals on the weekly, which I read as warnings to shave some profit on the next bounce to the fast line rather than panic selling outright. S&P futures, Nasdaq, and the FANG index are all in bearish consolidation, and the VIX established a fresh pivot high Monday worth watching. For individual picks I cover Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token, and follow up on the H token collapse. On the stock side I run through ARM Holdings, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris Energy, KEEL, Applied Digital, SOFI, CoreWeave, ACN, TOSERV, and Marvel. As always, details on our courses, the TBO indicator, and the Better Traders journal are linked below. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Intro and voice update 02:15 Bitcoin TBO resistance and dead cat bounce 07:30 Ethereum doji candle and bear flag targets 12:00 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance, and Bitcoin dominance 16:30 Dollar, Euro, and USD/JPY commentary 20:00 S&P futures, Nasdaq, FANG, Nvidia, and VIX 24:30 WTI oil short and commodities overview 29:00 Gold, silver, platinum, and Pax G weekly signals 34:00 Coin picks: Siren, HYPE, DEXE, ENA, NEAR, Venice Token 41:00 H token collapse and viewer coin picks 46:30 Stock picks: ARM, Palantir, ENPH, Solaris, CoreWeave, Marvel 52:00 Better Traders resources and outro

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Bitcoin attempted a bounce on Sunday, wicking 5.8% up to 64,234, but the move stalled directly at the TBO line that flipped from support to resistance after Friday's break below 60,000. In today's update, I explain why this still looks more like a dead cat bounce than a real reversal: Friday's 3.3 billion volume was far below the capitulation levels I want to see at prior cycle lows, Sunday did not print a bullish engulfing candle, and the same daily RSI reset pattern showed up on May 30th at 73K right before a 20% collapse followed. I also walk through the TradFi pressure that hit markets on Friday, including the DXY surge, S&P futures down 2.9%, the VIX spiking 39%, and gold dropping 3.3% in the same session. The Japanese yen is drifting back toward dangerous territory near 160.34, the Nikkei opened Monday already down 3.7%, and stablecoin dominance nearly tagged 13% before pulling back on the Sunday bounce. If stablecoin dominance and BTC dominance both keep pushing higher, I expect others dominance and alts to take the bigger hit. I finish with a full coin review across my picks list, including BIAN, RAVE, XRP, HYPE, LINK, ZEC, BEAT, TAU, SIREN, DEXE, INJ, and PIPPIN, followed by bearish reads on SOL, ADA, SUI, PEPE, APT, ARB, BONK, CHZ, TON, NEAR, TRUMP, and VVV. Viewer picks include AKT, ENA, WLD, KAS, SUPRA, and CRO, with stock coverage wrapping on PFGC, TWST, Nokia, DSX, ARM, CRM, MOD, NASA, CEPT, and RDW. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC dead cat bounce and TBO resistance 03:24 Daily RSI reset and what it actually signals 06:44 Dead cat bounce explained and BTC downside targets 12:08 Ethereum and stablecoin dominance breakdown 16:11 TradFi: DXY, Euro, Yen, S&P Futures, VIX 19:09 Oil, Nikkei, Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Uranium 27:59 Aaron's picks: BIAN, RAVE, XRP, HYPE, LINK, ZEC 33:48 BEAT, TAU, SIREN, DEXE, INJ, and PIPPIN 37:30 Bearish alts: SOL, ADA, SUI, PEPE, APT, ARB, BONK, CHZ 40:17 TON, NEAR, TRUMP, VIRTUALS, and VVV 43:38 Viewer picks: AKT, ENA, WLD, KAS, SUPRA, CRO 45:55 Stock picks: PFGC, TWST, Nokia, DSX, ARM, CRM, MOD, NASA, CEPT, RDW

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The combined read: HYPE deserves respect, but not blind chasing. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

A chart can be strong and still be a dangerous chase if the risk/reward has already shifted. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

HYPE can show real strength and still become a crowded trade if everyone starts chasing the same move. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

Aaron owns the missed HYPE pullback call, then explains why the chart still deserves a deeper look. Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.

$HYPE is still one of the strongest charts on the board - but that does not mean it is a risk-free chase. Sunday’s deep dive covers TBO, RSI, OBV, Fib targets, Oracle, and the key question now: is the strength still worth the risk? youtu.be/YNyOMKJiViI