Blake Atkinson @BlakeTAtkinson
👨🏻💻M.S. in Data Sci/Specializes in Sports Data Cincinnati, OH Joined July 2011-
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Following2K
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@betstamp Doesn’t FD just generally have less vig on one way markets
@BudElliott3 With 100 teams running the tush push def worth trying to find an off speed pitch version
Blake Atkinson retweeted
2023 YTD MAE One standout is right there with the line: Stats Tailgate by @BlakeTAtkinson (model added this week). Also posting strong figures worthy of recognition: @Room44B & CBCR2 from @DawgQuant. 6/7
Here's a 4-pack of my (suspiciously) largest edges - I'm almost certainly missing something - or maybe my model just hates large swaths of Texas
@DawgQuant I show value on most of these too 🤝🏼
@professor042 Right now I’m making do with calculating implied and manually looking up to make sure it’s available. I’m not sure there are many options. I may just have to figure out the key numbers and then take the closest one to market implied 50/50
my model predictions might suck this year but at least they will look clean
@NotNotBRoller matplotlib with a 3x3 gridspec. Credit to @CFB_Data as always for venue/colors/start times etc
Pipeline issues, life in the way for CFB viz but love NC St -14.5 and would play Minnesota if there’s a -7 for tonight
Blake Atkinson retweeted
All-time @CFB_Data leaderboard, n>=500. Interesting cluster @ the top. Going to have to my eye on @trentonsorensen and @BlakeTAtkinson!
Ran out of time making viz, but going to try and post/log picks. Two bets I'd still make: LA Tech inside 13 for the talent gap and SDSU TT over better than 27. Grade on SDSU QB who took over midway last year good, OC has to be better, and Ohio steam has nothing to do w/ defense
Not sure why it smited Michigan, Clemson, Pitt, Louisville. Going to see how it does and tweak it. Right now, not even close to actionable model performance. Shoutout @BudElliott3's summer school, tons of signal there, and of course @ESPN_BillC 's SP+ system.
I forced a bot to listen to Northwestern preseason podcasts so you don't have to...
@bluebloodsbias Kentucky has beaten Louisville by a combined 122 points their last 4 meetings
Make sure to factor into your preseason win total analysis 😂
Links to @Sentdex video and @ZhiyingJ 's paper: arxiv.org/abs/2212.09410 youtube.com/watch?v=jkdWzv…
Gzip is indeed all you need 😂 inspired by the @Sentdex video (on @ZhiyingJ's paper) I compressed @ESPN_BillC burning questions using Gzip and ran a KNeighbors regressor on it. It correctly identified Georgia, Alabama, and Michigan as top teams out of sample. THIS SHOULD NOT WORK
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