Michael @CAPVSAnalytics
Quant fund manager. Lifelong hockey fan. Proprietary NHL analytics - CAPVS · GAR · RAPM · xG. The conclusions most accounts won't draw. Toronto Joined June 2026-
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6/ That is what CAPVS Analytics is built for.. isolating repeatable impact, pricing it against cap cost, and testing conclusions the market hasn't caught up to yet. More to come. #NHL #LeafsForever #HockeyAnalytics
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5) The broader point: NHL teams systematically misprice defensive dmen because the market runs on reputation, hits, and highlight-reel blocks.. not on chance suppression and transition prevention. McCabe-type value gets found. Rielly-type contracts get handed out.
The Leafs are paying $7.5M/year for a defenceman whose defensive impact ranks in the 59th percentile. They are paying $4.51M/year for one who ranks in the 97th. Most people would get the names wrong. 🧵
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