Frank @FrankAFeter

btc market quant; ex gs Joined September 2015

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Frank @FrankAFetter

9 months ago

@tadtweets Talking myself into a narrative here, but: Full tank of gas on the choppiness index IV at historic lows Bollingers most compressed ever MACD just flipped green My probabilistic 2c: Higher!

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Anthony Pompliano 🌪 @APompliano

10 months ago

Bitcoin has been falling in price, but on-chain data says everyone should just chill.

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After briefly falling out, bitcoin is back in the Pi Cycle Top channel. Is this the start of a new “cycle”? My two cents: bitcoin trades in mini fear/greed cycles within broader, macro liquidity cycles. There’s little signal left in halving-based cycle analysis, imo. $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands. Last three instances of this: 1. Yen Carry Unwind - $49k 2. Tariff Tantrum - $74k 3. Today - $108k $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Short-term holders (recent top buyers) are capitulating and selling at a loss. If we are in a bull market — and I believe we are — this is the kind of behavior that typically sets the stage for the next leg higher. $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

My personal investment philosophy is to do the exact opposite of the short-term holder cohort. $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

$BTC is up 7.3x from its 2022 cycle low, which was 997 days ago. If the traditional four-year cycle continues, the next 100 days could be interesting.

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Believe in something. $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

STH-SOPR is high. Historically, avoiding lump-sum buys when this metric is high can help reduce the risk of buying a local $BTC top.

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Jerome Powell: "Bitcoin is just like gold, only its digital." Vladimir Putin: "Who can ban Bitcoin? Nobody." Donald Trump: "Never sell your bitcoin." Higher.

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Unreal. #Bitcoin

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

For anyone new here, these are the flywheel dynamics at play. Sit back and let the financial wizard cook. $MSTR

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

So let me get this straight: If MSTR trades at a 6x multiple when $BTC is $275K, then MSTR will be trading at $18,000 per share.

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

If you look closely, you can see where $SMLR announced its #bitcoin treasury strategy.

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Short-term holders are approaching their “break-even” level as bitcoin trades around the key STH cost basis zone. Tracking STH activity at this level can indicate market structure/sentiment. Monitoring whether they choose to sell at break-even & exit the market or

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Morgan Stanley 👀

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

Levered long traders got wrecked on the CRASH to $111.6K. $BTC

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Frank @FrankAFeter

9 months ago

STH-SOPR is not high, dip buyers rejoice. Of course it can go lower, but buyers stepping into the market here are not buying a local top, by definition. $BTC