Prospect Card Radar @PC_Radar
Tracking the top 300 prospects, then tell you which cards the market is mis-pricing. - PC Mets & Mets prospects prospectcardradar.com Joined January 2017-
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George Lombard Jr.'s trailing-15 wOBA jumped .270 to .450 over 30 days. His Bowman 1st auto went the other way, asking down ~27% ($202 to $149). Efficiency Score reads that gap at +59, a tick under the "asleep" line. Verdict: LAGGING. Market slow on a top-20 bat, or fair?
I'm 97.6% kidding but the romantic in me sees him coming into a high leverage situation with the game on the4 line throw 98 for 1 inning with a nasty ghost fork and dreams of a world where he has the mental stability to be a dawg for 1 inning and throw nasty stuff. But a kid can dream.
I'm working to revamp this metric/feature. realizing its not doing what I was initially thinking it was going to do, update coming soon.
the card market usually takes about 4 days to react once a prospect's bat heats up. andrew fischer is 19 days into a .563 woba and the market still hasn't reacted. walker jenkins is 10 days hot at .509. five bats sitting well past the median, none of the cards moved.
This is fast becoming my favorite baseball card account on x. Data-driven updates on the top 300 prospects. Check it out and follow this guy, he has a disturbingly low amount of followers for the amount of value he provides via his updates! Tagging @CardPurchaser in case you also might find him interesting.
where the parallel chase is loudest rn (base / shimmer or purple): alfredo duno $78 / $4,998 robert arias $20 / $573 joswa lugo $31 / $763 eduardo quintero $103 / $2,500 yorger bautista $101 / $2,436 base auto isn't where the heat is.
FYI - These are graded prices, next round of graphics should make that more clear.
hot picks rail just updated. three under their typical range. Sebastian Walcott: $30 (-$20 vs typical) Jesús Made: $600 (-$445 vs typical) Jonah Tong: $210 (-$46 vs typical) live on prospectcardradar.com/deals
@selldiablo @CardPurchaser Thank you for the kind words! Very cool to hear you enjoying the site and thank you for sharing it. I’m not the best at self promotion and want to make sure I’m putting something out there worth sharing.
hagen smith's base 1st bowman auto last sold around $40, mid-pack in the sold range. the arm's running a 38% strikeout rate over 47 innings in triple-a, top 14% stuff at the level. that's a 29-point gap between the arm and the card price. market's asleep.
where the parallel chase is loudest rn (base / shimmer or purple): alfredo duno $78 / $4,998 robert arias $20 / $573 joswa lugo $31 / $763 eduardo quintero $103 / $2,500 yorger bautista $101 / $2,436 base auto isn't where the heat is.
kyson witherspoon's 1st bowman auto listings ran up to $63 then cooled to about $45 over ten days, down roughly 24 percent on the asking side. the most recent actual sale was around $31. listings are dropping but still sit well above where the card last sold.
@AnthonyDiComo Why isn't Thornton getting another start?
@Rydog54 Not crazy. I'm still going to pull a 27 yr old rookie pitcher for my auto tho 🤣
blake mitchell's first bowman auto last sold around $23. meanwhile the bat is running 85th percentile power and 74th in hit at high-a. card sits near the 38th price percentile, production way above that. 32 point gap. the market's asleep on this one.
@selldiablo @CardPurchaser I’ve seen super boxes at DSG and other retailers near me since release day but haven’t seen at Costco yet but not sure if they are two different super boxes or not tho.
three cards priced under their own typical active range right now. Walker Jenkins: $259 (-$91 vs typical) Paulino Santana: $75 (-$17 vs typical) Jesús Made: $600 (-$445 vs typical) live on prospectcardradar.com/deals
$46. that is what caden scarborough's base 1st bowman chrome auto last sold for. the arm is rank 71, running a 1.76 era and a 37% strikeout rate over four starts at high-a. the grade is 28 points ahead of where the card sold. market's asleep on this one.
biggest 1st bowman chrome premium over pro debut rn (bc / pd): cam collier $68 / $13 travis sykora $69 / $15 junior perez $18 / $4 jackson ferris $29 / $8 ryan clifford $59 / $16 1st-card scarcity or nostalgia chase?
the card market usually takes about 4 days to catch up once a prospect's bat heats up. a few are way past that. walker jenkins, rank 11, is 9 days hot and his 1st bowman auto slid from 78 to 54. andrew fischer's raked 18 days, card flat at 114. market's slow on these.
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