QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

@forgotv @chasedownleads Yeah, more like the lender is losing a lot on that loan. Any loan below 4.5% is losing money without even accounting for overhead.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

8 months ago

@shawngorham @shloimytheshump Trail running/marathon training is my choice.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

Interesting analysis from CRE Analyst. linkedin.com/posts/cre-anal…

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

@JG__II Seems like the only person replying with real data and experience was me. That guy was just throwing mud without backup. Seems borderline slanderous.

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Because I believe that sales of CRE fell off a cliff beginning in the 2nd half of 2022 because of fast pace of rate increases? You stated that most investors recognized the coming problems and sold in 2023. Hate to break it to you, but those that were right/lucky exited much earlier than that. dallasnews.com/business/real-…

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

@LPWhisperer @JG__II Not what I believe. I don’t know any of the other guys. All I’m saying is that I’ve done business with Chris and he has a legitimate business. No opinion on the others you have an issue with.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

@LPWhisperer @JG__II In 2023? The rates had already peaked in 2023. Most that were going to sell sold in 21 and 22. Volume fell off a cliff second half of 22.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

The fed also started cutting even before Covid hit. Many experienced economists believed that we had reached the threshold where the economy was in balance at a much lower rate than in the 70-90s. They had good reason to believe it. If you want to see an interesting chart look at fed funds and when recessions begin. It had been occurring at a lower and lower level every time

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

@LPWhisperer @JG__II Fed funds was 2.50% in June 2019, took a decade to get there from 0. Today it is at 5.50% and that only took from early 2022 to middle 2023.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

You probably need to reread what I wrote. Investing in real estate comes with RISK. Risk inherently means there are no guarantees. Higher levels of risk provide larger variations in return and a good manager can limit downside while pushing upside through effective operations; however, they cannot control outside factors like a 500 bp increase in the federal funds rate. I know of a lot of LPs who invested in value add MF who have been wiped out, but if they had exited 3 years ago they’d have had 50-100% returns. You’re acting like people should be guaranteed a certain return just because there is a target return for a project. LPs know that isn’t the case otherwise they would invest in sure things. They’re taking a higher level of risk for the potential of greater returns.

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QuickTakeCRE @QuickTakeCRE

2 years ago

@LPWhisperer In real estate investing there are no should be. There is risk. One of the major risks that hit investors was Covid, lots of stimulus followed by the fastest increase in rates ever, which impacts alternative asset classes. If you want should be you invest in treasuries.