Robert Malley @Rob_Malley
Author w/Hussein Agha, TOMORROW IS YESTERDAY: LIFE, DEATH, & THE PURSUIT OF PEACE IN ISRAEL-PALESTINE. Pdt Emeritus & Mideast Pg Dir @CrisisGroup. Yale Lecturer Joined October 2011-
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Are we on the verge of a deal or another round of conflict between Iran and the U.S.? Read our latest weekly update 👇🏼 crisisgroup.org/bnt/middle-eas…
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Returning back to war? From Tehran's perspective, the United States and Israel are pursuing a coordinated strategy aimed at weakening both Iran and the broader Axis of Resistance. This perception, combined with President Trump's continued insistence that no meaningful
Happening now: Robert Malley, a former U.S. special envoy for Iran and lead negotiator on the 2015 nuclear deal, joins FP Live to discuss the negotiations, the regime, and the choices that Washington now faces. Watch here: foreignpolicy.com/live/robert-ma…
This week’s @CrisisGroup take on the US/Israeli war with Iran: “It has been one more week in the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, and the week has yet again ended in confusion… Trump’s erratic actions and rhetoric make clear that he is torn, eager to end an economically costly and politically unpopular war, yet still trying to wiggle out of what could be politically painful concessions on his part (most notably anything that smacks of economic benefits for Iran), and hopeful that additional pressure on Iran will yield additional concessions on theirs. Notwithstanding a pervasive sense that the U.S. is closer to reaching a deal than at any point in the past three months, Trump could still be persuaded by Netanyahu and domestic hawks that any deal that involves such economic benefits, or defers “decisive” action on Iran’s nuclear program would amount to surrender. Should this happen, he would return to the choice he avoided on 19 May, when he deferred strikes that he said were planned at the request of Gulf countries. He could either resume the air war, or maintain the blockade, or both – and bank on Iran’s economy cracking before the global economy does. In none of these scenarios is he likely to succeed, as the Iranian regime repeatedly has demonstrated that it believes time to be on its side, and that it is willing to absorb costs, however painful, rather than give in to U.S. pressure.” crisisgroup.org/bnt/middle-eas…
The @OnesandToozePod is always hugely informative but this episode, with @adam_tooze analysis of the economic devastation caused by the US/Israeli war on Iran & the possible economic dimension of any US-Iran deal, is a must-listen podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/one…
The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz is a contentious element in negotiations to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran and an issue of significant interest to countries around the world. Get to grips with its role in the conflict so far with our new visual explainer. crisisgroup.org/visual-explain…
This makes good sense. Importantly, it would allow Trump to describe what in effect is the exit ramp he needs as the victory lap he craves. If that's what it takes...
There's going to be ambiguity in whatever "deal" comes together that allows the strait to reopen. -Trump will frame this is as a nuclear deal--even though it is very unlikely that Iran has agreed to anything up-front (agreement to address in principle during subsequent rounds
Saudi will smile and ignore this ridiculous statement. Cannot take it seriously.
Trump said he is not sure the U.S. should sign a deal to end the war with Iran if Saudi Arabia and other gulf countries don't agree join the Abraham Accords. "They owe it to us", he said
An admirably clear and helpful, if distressing, analysis of the state of play in Iraqi politics by International Crisis Group's @LahibHigel: Iraq Forms New Government amid Regional Turmoil crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-eas… via @CrisisGroup
As @citrinowicz puts it, the idea of linking an Iran deal to normalization with Israel “is impractical, detached from reality, and so disconnected from the actual dynamics of the Middle East that it raises serious doubts about whether this administration truly understands the region at all.”
Trump is trying, as hard as he can, to manufacture a “victory image.” If Iran will not give him one, then perhaps the Gulf states will, allowing him to justify what increasingly looks like a deeply troubled approach toward Tehran. The problem is that this futile insistence is
Actually, Van Hollen specifically says: "Democrats should pursue a last-gasp effort to salvage a two-state solution. If that effort fails, the US will have to consider other options to secure equal political and legal rights for all" - boldly hinting at one state with equality.
Senator Van Hollen wants to put the United States back in the peace process business for a 2-state solution that does not exist.
Essential reading from @CrisisGroup on where we are in the #IranWar.
This week’s @CrisisGroup recap on the US/Iran conflict : “That both Washington and Tehran are commenting on the potential memorandum with caution underscores the difficulty in getting even broad understandings over the finish line – a function of complications inherent in
This week’s @CrisisGroup recap on the US/Iran conflict : “That both Washington and Tehran are commenting on the potential memorandum with caution underscores the difficulty in getting even broad understandings over the finish line – a function of complications inherent in indirect diplomacy; the utter lack of trust between the sides; a degree of opacity in Iranian decision-making under the new supreme leader; and Trump’s capricious, erratic behaviour, which is only magnified by the political dilemma he has created for himself crisisgroup.org/bnt/middle-eas…
In his oped, @ChrisVanHollen not only openly calls Israeli control over the West Bank an "apartheid system" and an effort at "ethnic cleansing," but hints that soon, the Democratic Party will need to go beyond the two-state solution nytimes.com/2026/05/26/opi…
Important & noteworthy piece by @ChrisVanHollen on the choice the Democratic Party faces on Israel-Palestine nytimes.com/2026/05/26/opi…
After long saying the U.S. would acquire Iran’s “nuclear dust”—the enriched uranium—he now says his preference is the IAEA be present as Iran destroys it at home or “at another acceptable location”
Imagining the reaction in Pakistan, two months of trying to mediate a deal hoping it will put them into Trump's good books, only for him to toss this out there at the 11th hour
Trump on his conference call with Middle East leaders Saturday asked "all" of the allies to sign onto the Abraham Accords as part of Iran agreement, sources told @CBSNews. Today he put it in writing: "Those Countries discussed are Saudi Arabia, The United Arab Emirates (already a
The fact that so many proponents of the Iran war are criticizing Trump’s looming deal is less an indictment of the deal than it is of the war. It means they can't defend the results of the policy they advocated for so long so are reduced to claiming that victory would have been around the corner if only Trump had stayed the course... (which only they seem to believe). They are right that the deal will leave the US worse off than before the war but fail to recognize, or at least refuse to admit, that the mistake was the war, not the deal.
The deal being floated with Iran seems straight out of the Wendy Sherman-Robert Malley-Ben Rhodes playbook: Pay the IRGC to build a WMD program and terrorize the world. Not remotely America First. It’s straightforward: Open the damned strait. Deny Iran access to money. Take out
To be fair, the JCPOA didn't have any provisions for re-opening the Strait of Hormuz. Mostly because it wasn't closed at the time, but still.
Grateful for this thoughtful review of Tomorrow is Yesterday by Susie Linfield in @DissentMag: « Compelling, provocative, deeply unsettling, and, sometimes, flawed. It is the most original book I have read that has emerged from Hamas’s October 7 massacres and the Gaza war.... The value of this brave, bracing book is its challenge to the cherished beliefs of Palestinians, Israelis, and any “bystanders” who are committed to the flourishing of a democratic Jewish state and to ending the subjugation of the Palestinian people. » dissentmagazine.org/article/the-di…
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Jeet Heer @HeerJeet
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Center for Internatio... @CIPolicy
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נדב איל Nadav E... @Nadav_Eyal
403K Followers 2K Following Columns, @yediotahronot| @ColumbiaSIPA Scholar | Sign up to my New Newsletter: https://t.co/ik4qCKgHUm
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Time to Say Goodbye @ttsgpod
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