Robert King @Robvan32

Here is a list of Military Action taken by recent Presidents without Congressional Approval: • Bill Clinton (1994-1999): Conducted airstrikes in Bosnia (1994-1995), missile strikes against Iraq (1998), and the Kosovo air campaign (1999) without explicit congressional authorization, often under NATO or UN frameworks. • George W. Bush (2001): Initiated drone strikes and special operations in countries like Pakistan and Yemen as part of the War on Terror, beyond the scope of the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) in some cases, without additional congressional approval. • Barack Obama (2011-2014): Launched airstrikes in Libya (2011) without congressional authorization, arguing the action did not constitute “hostilities” under the War Powers Resolution. Also expanded drone strikes in Pakistan, Somalia, and Yemen, and initiated airstrikes against ISIS in Iraq and Syria (2014) without new congressional approval, relying on the 2001 AUMF. • Donald Trump (2017-2020): Ordered missile strikes against Syria (2017, 2018) and the drone strike killing Iranian general Qasem Soleimani (2020) without congressional authorization, citing national security. • Joe Biden (2021-2024): Conducted airstrikes against Iranian-backed militias in Syria and Iraq (2021-2023) and ordered strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen (2024) without explicit congressional approval, often citing self-defense of U.S. personnel.

@CloughBrad @frank_seravalli Statically unlikely that a Canadian team hasn’t won in 32 years. Something’s wrong with the NHL.

Calculating the odds of no Canadian NHL team winning the Stanley Cup for 32 years requires some assumptions, as the probability depends on the number of teams, their relative competitiveness, and the structure of the playoffs. Here’s a breakdown based on available data and simplified models: Key Context • The last Canadian team to win the Stanley Cup was the Montreal Canadiens in 1993. • There are currently 7 Canadian teams out of 32 in the NHL (approximately 22% of the league). Historically, this proportion has fluctuated between 20% and 31% since 1993. • The NHL has expanded over time, with 26 teams in 1993–94 and 32 teams today. • Winning the Stanley Cup isn’t purely random due to team quality, management, and playoff dynamics, but simplified models assume equal chances for each team to estimate baseline odds. Simplified Probability Model Assuming each team has an equal chance of winning the Stanley Cup each year (a naive but useful benchmark), we can estimate the odds as follows: 1. Current NHL (7/32 Canadian teams): • Probability a non-Canadian team wins in a given year: 1 - \frac{7}{32} = \frac{25}{32} \approx 0.78125 (78.125%). • Probability no Canadian team wins over 32 years: \left(\frac{25}{32}\right)^{32} \approx 0.000463 . • Odds: \frac{1}{0.000463} \approx 1 in 2,159 (or approximately 0.0463%). 2. Historical Variation: • Canadian team representation has varied (e.g., 31% in 1994, 20% in 2000–2010). • A more precise model accounts for changing team counts. For instance, over 27 years (1993–2020), Canadian teams had 173 of 758 total chances (22.82%). The probability of no Canadian wins is (1 - 0.2282)^{27} \approx 0.00155 , or 1 in 645. • Extending to 32 years with an average of ~22% Canadian teams yields odds around 1 in 1,000–2,000, depending on exact proportions. 3. Adjusted for Competitiveness: • Canadian teams haven’t always been top contenders. From 1993–2013, their regular-season performance was slightly below American teams (81.5 vs. 84.4 points per season). • Using playoff seeding and power ratings, one estimate pegs the odds of no Canadian wins at 1 in 142 (0.7%). • Another analysis, factoring in team quality, suggests odds as high as 1 in 2,926 (0.034%). Factors Beyond Chance The drought isn’t purely bad luck: • Structural Issues: Higher taxes, harsher weather, and intense media pressure in Canadian cities may deter free agents, impacting team quality. • Playoff Dynamics: Canadian teams often face each other early, reducing their chances of advancing. Since 1993, only six Canadian teams have reached the finals. • Management and Culture: Some argue Canadian teams face less pressure to win due to loyal fan bases, potentially leading to complacency. Final Answer The odds of no Canadian team winning the Stanley Cup for 32 years vary by model: • Naive model (equal chance, current NHL): ~1 in 2,159 (0.0463%). • Historical team counts: ~1 in 1,000–2,000. • Adjusted for team quality: ~1 in 142 to 1 in 2,926. A reasonable estimate, balancing these factors, is approximately 1 in 1,000 to 2,000 (0.05%–0.1%). This reflects both statistical improbability and real-world factors like team performance and league dynamics.

@KirkLubimov 5 more years of Liberals not requiring mandatory treatment and allowing the decriminalization of public use of hard drugs will ensure this type of thing happens again. I can’t believe so many Canadians are ignoring these things when they go to vote tomorrow.

This is the dumbest idea ever. Government’s role is to provide incentive for private corporations to meet policy goals. The government doing it will only lead to massive cost overruns and an additional debt burden we can’t afford after 9 years of a far left Liberal government. Carney is starting to show his big government colours. Don’t be fooled Canada.

@realTrumpNewsX A

@iamnot_elon Glen Greenwa

@TheFigen_ Scooby Doo

@krassenstein @darewecan Banks do their own handicapping of assets listed in Net Worth Statements. It’s only fraud if he claimed to own assets he did not. Over estimating values is not a crime because it’s subjective.

@historyinmemes Roger Dahltery

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