adi will @adiwill
If you are tired, then do it tired. 🫳 ^^ Joined January 2015-
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Salutare tuturor ! Piata americana si nu numai se afla in full bubble mode ! 🚨 Dc spun asta? Indicatori ca Goldman panic index si nu numai ne arata ca investitorii au apetitul pentru risk la maxim iar pozițiile de hedge la minime. Deasemenea piata hardware aka a chip urilor face ca bursa din Korea de sud si Taiwan sa fie la maxime istorice. Toate ETF-urile care au la baza stock uri din industria hardware au grafice parabolice. Annual US equity issuence, adica totalul de shares, inclusiv IPO-uri, estimat pentru 2026 este la maxim din 1995 incoace. Acestea vor fi cumparate de cineva deci ele vor scoate banii investitorilor din alte asseturi. Aici sunt incluse si IPO-uri ca cel de la SpaceXai. Dupe ce astea vor usca si ultima lichiditate din piata pericolul unei crize de lichiditate va creste substantial. Mai ales cand inflatia isi arata iar coltii si Fed-ul nu va putea reduce rata prea curand. Calendarul financiar de maine va fi important datorita core PCE-ului si al GDP-ului preliminar. Discutam ulterior despre ele. Am fost plecat la Londra cu @BingXOfficial unde am avut parte de o experiența pe cinste pe care o voi prezenta in curând. Ușor ușor revin la program si va voi tine la curent cu evenimentele din piața constant! Daca va sunt benefice acestea like/share ! 👍 Mulțumesc
Core CPI monthly de 0.4% egal 4.8% inflatie anuala din CPI excluzând pretul energiei si a mancarii !! Asta e tweet-ul ca sa realizati cam cat de departe suntem de acel target al fed-ului de 2% ! De asta sansele de un rate cut in 2026 sunt de 2-3% iar cele pt un rate hike sunt de peste 30%. Toate cresterile de ath din bursa sunt in spinarea sectorului AI. Ele au revenit pe plus deoarece private credit risk ul s-a diminuat. Urmeaza IPO-uri puternice, poate cele mai mari din istorie si toti creditorii au inceput sa vb doar miere si zahar pt a atrage investitorii naivi. Daca ar fi sa ghicesc aceste ipo-uri ca cel al spaceXAI vor marca top-ul acestui ciclu. Inca un motiv pentru evolutia pozitiva a pietei din ultima vreme este piata muncii despre care v-am spus ca arata semne bune. Am uitat azi sa va vb de ADP weekly, noua metoda de raportare mi-a scapat deoarece ea a inlocuit vechiul raport ADP monthly. 33k/week se traduce intr-un ADP de 132k monthly !! Enorm si f puternic ! De asta investitorii inca nu au de ce sa isi faca griji. Euforia mai poate continua dar mie stiti ca imi place sa suflu si in iaurt. Una peste alta inflatia este intr-o crestere alarmanta, piata muncii este stabila, private credit ul se preface ca avem conditiile perfect pentru un expanding market. Voi puteti sa trageti propriile concluzii unde va duce acesta combinatie.
You will always be remembered, always be missed. Rest in peace, sweet soul. 🤍 Zidan, little angel... 🪽
Orice Donatie conteaza 📌 gofundme.com/f/zidan2223?la… 📌Crypto: 0xF0aA645f3b9A46D949aBC70DBF776d15E2c58224 📌@zidan2223 Zinaida Popa 📌Cont bancar: IBAN:MD84AG000000022596110270 SWIFT: AGRNMD2X Beneficiar: Ecaterina Perebinos Banca: IBC "MAIB" S.A. BRANCH Sucursala Stefan Voda
📌 📌 gofund.me/13ddfffa 📌 Zelle- +12244224665 📌 Revolut: @zidan2223 📌PayPal: paypal.com/paypalme/pereb…... Cont bancar: IBAN:MD84AG000000022596110270 SWIFT: AGRNMD2X Beneficiar: Ecaterina Perebinos Banca: IBC "MAIB" S.A. BRANCH Sucursala Stefan Voda
@DefiWimar 😂 lol tomorrow will be definitely different
Uite razboiul nu e razboiul ! 🚨 hai sa vb de cifre concrete de care putem fi siguri. Chiar daca in perioada asta sunt acaparate ca si miscari ale pietei de declaratiile lui trump si de conflictul din orient ! Azi la ora 21 avem Fomc meeting minutes. Probabil vor fi semi bearish. Pot oferi o posibilitate de repozitionere. Bursa azi va deschide f sus cu gap mare iar pe seara fix la fomc putem asista la ceva profit taking. Maine avem Core PCE, cel mai important raport al inflatiei estimat 0.4% egal cu anterior. Peste e bearish, sub bullish. Tot maine avem Final GDP, 0.7% estimat la fel ca precedent. Destul de mic avand in vedere ca venim de la 2-3% si daca el vine sub acest 0.7% spre 0 chiar negativ recesiunea oficiala bate la usa. Peste 1% e bullish. Vineri 15:30, CPI core 0.3% estimat fata de 0.2%. Aici probabil asa va fi, nu avem de ce sa ne facem probleme deoarece pretul petrolului in core nu este luat in considerare. La CPI monthly 1% fata de 0.3% precedent. Aici deja FED-ul isi ia in calcul pretul ridicat al petrolului desi real in economie el ne va afecta la CPI-ul de luna viitoare. CPI yearly 3.4% fata de 2.4%. Aici fiind CPI-ul estimat pana la final de an deja pretul petrolului este priced. Tot vineri la 17 avem univ of Michigan surveys pt consumer confidence si inflatie dar vb despre ele intr-un postare ulterioara. Daca azi la FOMC nu vdm ceva profit taking din aceste cresteri bruste, atunci joi spre seara inainte de inchiderea NY ele au sansa si mai mare sa se materializeze. Azi, maine raman bullish, si in fct de GDP pana joi seara. Apoi vineri vdm ce ne spune CPI-ul. Pana vineri mai discutam in fct de ce cifre vedem. Daca va ajuta aceste informatii nu uitati sa dati un like/share ! Va multumesc 🙏
E trump un prost sau un malefic inteligent? 🧐 Stați un pic si nu mânați veniți un pic și ascultați ! Toti tipa ca Trump habar nu are ce face de cand a devenit presedinte. A distrus relatiile cu cei mai apropiați aliati (europa, canada, mexic, japonia etc) si a pornit razboiul cu Iran care nu poate fi “castigat”. Dar ce a realizat el prin asta? SUA era cel mai mare producator si exportator de petrol din lume inainte sa puna mana pe petrolul din Venezuela, tara cu cele mai mari rezerve de petrol. Apoi a provocat razboiul cu Iranul si a inchis stramtoarea Hormuz pe care se jura ca vrea sa o redeschidă!? Oare? SUA nu are absolut nici un beneficiu daca aceasta stramtoare e deschisa. Ba din contra, este net beneficiara a pretului mare a petrolului, gazelor naturale, ingrasaminte, etc. Pe cine afecteaza inchiderea stramtorii cel mai tare? Poi fix pe Japonia, Korea de Sud, China, Europa, Australia si mai toti astia care nu au vrut sa ii plateasca lui Trump tarifele mult dorite. Ce mai au in comun aceste tari si cu ce il aveau la mana pe Trump? Bingo ! Cu datoria americana. Mereu acolo se ajungea ca daca cumva Trump e baiat rau, “aliatii” lui cei mai de incredere vor vinde toata datoria americana si o sa distruga dolarul si economia SUA. Eeee dar acum daca aceste tari nu mai au alternativa pentru resursele de energie si nu numai, vor fi nevoite sa apeleze la Uncle Trump ! Si uite asa a salvat Trump si dolarul, si datoria americana si economia tarii si “aliatii” lui care rad cat de prost este vor merge frumusel iar la casa alba sa plece capul. Altfel vine frigul si foamea. Trist, dar adevarat. Sper ca nu v-am stricat weekendul si mai da-l in colo si pe Trump si piata si tot. Mergeti si va bucurati cu cei apropiati in aer liber! ☀️ P.S : raportarile de azi overall sunt long term bearish ! Rata aia a somajului -0.1% e o pacaleala short term !
JUST IN: 10 Bitcoin and crypto companies have banking charters awaiting approval that will make it easier to buy Bitcoin.
when tomorrow is monday but you're unemployed
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