Chart Inspect @chartinspect

Bitcoin just hit $79,000. The short-term holder cost basis sits at $79,277, and we already got rejected on the first pass. Every prior bear market rally has been rejected at this level: 2018: rejected at $11K, $8K, $6.5K → bottomed at $3.2K 2022: rejected at $48K, $25K, $21K → bottomed at $16K Jan 2026: rejected at $98K → dropped to $60K The next 2-4 weeks tell us if it's different this time 👇 New video breaking it down: youtu.be/ziGXoscnDfU

5 things people keep saying about Bitcoin right now that the on-chain data disagrees with: "LTH are accumulating, bullish" - They took 6.19M BTC in profit at the top. Wealth concentration rising = everyone else leaving. "This cycle is different" - 97% of momentum signals are bearish. Same pattern as 2018/2022. "It's digital gold" - Down 47% in 5 months. Bitcoin has always been this volatile. That's the deal. "$100K by year end" - 9 out of 9 oscillators at annual lows. "The bottom is in" - LTH MVRV still at 1.52. Realized cap drawdown at 3.7% vs 14-23% at prior bottoms. Full breakdown:

There's a bearish divergence forming in Bitcoin's on-chain data that most people are missing. Price is making higher lows. But LTH MVRV is making lower lows. Why? Cycle-top buyers are aging into the long-term holder cohort, silently dragging profitability down even as price holds. 9 out of 9 on-chain oscillators are in the bottom 10% of their annual range. We're 173 days in, 45% of the way through. Full breakdown + new research article 👇

Ethereum current supply in profit and loss has shown a convergence for ~1 month. Typically, this has resulted in a LOCAL low for ETH. The market is showing signs of volatility as we see this tightening range. Bullish, or simply a test run before the next move down? Check out the chart here: chartinspect.com/charts/eth-pro… @chartinspect

45% of all long-term held Ethereum is underwater. For Bitcoin, it's 27%. I built on-chain analytics for ETH, ADA, LTC, DOGE, and LINK, and the data is telling a fascinating story. New video breaking it all down 👇

Bitcoin On-chain Update: 26% of long-term holder supply is now underwater. Historically, this metric peaks above 40% at cycle bottoms. We're getting there but not yet. Meanwhile, 88% of short-term holder coins are at a loss. Quick video explaining what this means and what to watch for 👇 chartinspect.com/charts/lth-in-…

Bitcoin just rallied 10% in a day. But the STH cost basis at $87K has acted as resistance in every prior bear market. Short-term holders are still moving coins out at -9.9K BTC/day (30d EMA). Composite momentum is 97% bearish. New video on what I'm watching for and what actually ends a bear market 👇 chartinspect.com

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Bitcoin's on-chain data says we're not at the bottom yet - close, but not there. In this video, I walk through 4 on-chain charts that show exactly where we are in the cycle and a new tool I built to take the emotion out of buying 👇

비트코인 장기보유자 (LTH) vs. 단기보유자 (STH) 👀 출처: chartinspect.com/charts/sth-lth

Bitcoin on-chain check (Feb 25, 2026) via @chartinspect 📊 : $BTC ~$66,486 (+3.51%). Drawdown ~30–35% from ATH, 1Y ROI still positive, and >70% of supply is in profit. Translation: resilience, not capitulation. No 2015/2018/2022-style stress signals yet. Key level to watch: if supply in profit slides toward ~50%, pressure usually returns. Do we break higher from this range, or does profit compression force a deeper reset?

Everyone's googling "Bitcoin to zero." Meanwhile, shrimps and crabs are accumulating harder than almost any point in history. The whales? Still selling. New video breaking down the data + the one on-chain level that has never failed as a floor 👇 #Bitcoin

Check out my latest Bitcoin article - where I talk about a new onchain metric on Chartinspect.com research.chartinspect.com/introducing-th…

@btcjvs The spread between the two haven’t widened enough just yet. Plus it is wise to look at both STH and LTH as a % of profit/loss.

Bitcoin's MVRV ratio has touched below the 4-year -1 standard deviation line. Historically, this level has acted as a cycle bottom signal every time MVRV has dipped to or slightly below this green line, it marked a major accumulation zone. The -1σ price level, on the other hand, currently sits at ~$56,000, meaning that if this pattern holds, Bitcoin could potentially see a bottom form anywhere from $50,000 to $60,000, which we saw already last week. Previous touches occurred in 2012, 2015, 2018, and 2022, each preceding the next major bull run. What makes this notable is that MVRV compresses over time as Bitcoin matures. The peaks get lower, the bands tighten, and the statistical extremes become less dramatic. This suggests the market is becoming more efficient and growing, but the standard deviation bands still capture the cycle structure remarkably well.

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@alicharts Our CVDD model is a bit higher at $48k

@ColinTCrypto Our CVDD line which has nailed each and every single cycle low is at $48k currently so pretty close!

@FluentInFinance One of our models nails the low at $48k using on-chain analysis.

@ITC_Crypto Incoming bounce but yes, we are not completely bottomed out yet.

@mrofwallstreet You’re probably right.