David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

ONCE- owner, researcher, analyst. NOW - inventing, guitar, writing, teaching karate. TODAY - Building Analystkit, learning & sharing on X. Analystkit.com Charlottesville, VA Joined February 2026

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

4 days ago

@analystkitnews Emphasis on expected future cashflows here. PLV and FCF are two to look at.

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5 days ago

JPMorgan's Tangible Book Value is $106. The stock trades at $333. The $226 above TBV is franchise — deposit network, trading desks, client relationships, none of it in a hard asset. DCF at $420 prices that franchise with growth. TBV at $106 strips it out. The current price sits between them.

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Aaron Stackpole @aaronstaa

4 days ago

Broadcom down 16% on earnings. $350 billion gone in a session. The entire AI capex narrative just got a question it did not have to answer last quarter.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

a week ago

@NikiCavataio1 @_MAGA_NEWS_ Niki regardless of how one feels toward Trump. What you did is a very difficult thing to do. We want to anchor to our present views and research shows the more we are shown evidence we are wrong the more we anchor., regardless whether you are right or wrong.

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Aaron Stackpole @aaronstaa

2 weeks ago

HCA is getting crushed on a $6 million revenue beat out of $19 billion and EPS that landed exactly at the estimate. when a name is priced for acceleration, in line reads as the miss.

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2 weeks ago

Intel surged 15% today on Google and Nvidia manufacturing reports. EPV is -$44.96. DCF is -$7.49. The $82 gap between tangible book value and current price is the foundry thesis priced before it has posted a profitable external manufacturing quarter.

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2 weeks ago

NVDA has gross margins above 70%. AnalystKit's GRM model prices current gross profit capacity at $32. DCF is $315 on a specific AI revenue trajectory. The $205 stock price sits between those two models. GRM shows what the current business earns at the gross line. DCF prices where it goes.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

3 weeks ago

@aaronstaa Thats a good beat.

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Aaron Stackpole @aaronstaa

3 weeks ago

MRVL was at $219 Monday morning and closed at $290 after Jensen Huang called it the next trillion-dollar company. that's the most expensive analyst note ever written.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

4 weeks ago

@analystkitnews Not a great financial health score forecast based on March fundamentals.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

4 weeks ago

@aaronstaa This is in line with personal expectations

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Aaron Stackpole @aaronstaa

4 weeks ago

Intel ran 500% in a year. Northland's downgrade math: 40% data center growth in CY27 and the stock is still 38x forward earnings.

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4 weeks ago

Deckers raised FY2027 EPS guidance to 13% growth. The stock is at $107. EPV and FCF both anchor at $74 on normalized earnings. PLV, the tangible asset floor, sits at $119. DCF, built on HOKA's growth trajectory, reaches $197.

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a month ago

Copart beat Q3 EPS and revenue. Net income was down 1% year over year. The stock fell 2%. DCF prices CPRT at $49. Five other AnalystKit frameworks are below the current $33 price.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

a month ago

Were seeing similar issues with Nvidia thats carrying a lot of momentum. Not clear how rising rates will impact it all.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

3 months ago

Oracle beating revenue expectations - not just AI excitement. Rising demand for cloud infrastructure and AI capacity points to something deeper. For most companies the core data still lives inside ERP and HCM systems, finance, supply chain, HR, and operational platforms that structure decision-making. The real work is modernizing that architecture and integrating the data. AI's still the headline, but enterprise applications are still the foundation.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

a month ago

@edgaralandough If a stone is what you need, be willing to trade a diamond for it.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

a month ago

@analystkitnews Makes sense. EPV doesnt bake in growth expectations. A good baseline number.

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Analystkit @analystkitnews

a month ago

The largest utility deal in decades closes, and NEE now trades below its liquidation value. PLV prices the assets at $98, just above the current $93 close. DCF runs to $190 on the AI power demand thesis. Two frameworks above the stock. Four below, including EPV at -$37.

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David Stackpole @dave_stackpole

a month ago

@financedystop Ive told my kids you are at war with your money. A variety of forces from bad insurance and the lotto to deceptive ads are working to take it from you

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a month ago

Cisco's best day since 2011. The guide was the move, not the quarter. Product revenue up 17%. AI infrastructure orders doubled year over year. Q4 EPS guidance came in $0.12 above consensus. AnalystKit's FCF model prices CSCO at $41. DCF at $34. EPV at $25. The stock is at $96. Financials 2/5. Price History 1/5.