Riptide @jacobriptide

XAUUSD - 3.81RR 75% TP at technical target and 25% runner to the asia high which got stopped at BE. Researched and learned that asia liqudity is not as powerful a confluence for commodities as for forex so will be taking full profits at technical targets next time.

AUDUSD - 4.45RR Technical target was very close to the asia high so i extended the tp to it which got hit very nicely. First week trading specific London (08:00-10:00BST) and NY (13:30-15:30BST) trading windows with strict cut off points proved very good. #TCT

Profitability isn't a strategy you find. It's a person you become.

Chatgpt recognised that without my neutral trades I am consistently profitable, so will be focusing on semi-pro and pro contextual environments from now. Also mentioned that only 1 or 2 quality trades are needed per week to consistently reach my target of 10%/month

CADCHF 2.75RR - 1MFL again, 75% TP taken with 25% runner targeting the HTF model technical target. Been using chatgpt to analyse weekly trade performance and stop behavioural trends in my trading. Very important to keep a high quality trade journal for this reason.

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$BTC [HTF playbook] I want to give you guys my in depth thoughts on the market, recapping what happened since the completion of our macro distribution playbook and talking about what I am personally expecting for BTC in the next 1-2 months and how I will be looking to trade it: Introduction: After BTC swept 74K, completing our macro distribution schematic, price flushed down aggressively all the way to 59K before starting it's retracement leg towards the upside. That downwards expansion back in the beginning of Feb went lower than I initially anticipated and I believe it was an overreaction. Which is also the reason for price to deliver this current extended HTF retracement leg towards the upside --> to fully rebalance price before delivering the next expansion. Swing structure is still bearish and based on the behavior of the current HTF pullback, price deviating highs and building a lot of lows (sellside liquidity), I am expecting this retracement leg to result in a HTF lower high with price takig out the low at 59K. Current price action: What is important to understand is that when BTC is ready to deliver a macro pivot --> this can be identified through aggressive price behavior: A bearish pivot = aggressive sells creating displacement, breaking key levels towards the downside. A bullish pivot = aggressive buys creating displacement, breaking key levels towards the upside. No significant displacement breaking key levels = no macro bearish pivot. Right now, BTC has mitigated our supply POI followed by a rejection back down from 83K --> 74K, but what is noticeable about the rejection leg? It is a slow move down, creating buyside liquidity while deviating our red MS low. Or in other words: No aggressive sells, creating displacement while breaking key levels and therefore a high chance of NOT being our macro bearish pivot. My expectation for the next 1-2 months: Due to this understanding of knowing what is needed in order for price to deliver a sustainable reversal I would like to see the following get created at current market prices: A bullish rotation back up to new highs, confirming a higher TF distribution schematic that results in aggressive bearish displacement breaking key MS towards the downside. In order to establish a higher TF range that can result into a distribution --> we can apply the advanced #TCT range concepts (explained in mentorship 2025) to pre-plan multiple trade ideas in between because we would need to get a rotation towards new highs first. Best case scenario: We short a local distribution schematic that creates the range high of our accumulation (first blue box), we long the accumulation schematic back up to new highs (second blue box), we short the deviation of our HTF distribution schematic for a swingshort (third and fourth blue box). The blue boxes in the picture highlight the most optimal potential trading setups. Advanced details: I have seen a lot of 'normie' TA and believe that a new higher high will result in a lot of failed bearish retail patterns while 'confirming' a lot of bullish retail playbooks, therefore making it the perfect location to create a #TCT distribution schematic. In combination with the White House pushing the clarity act before July 4th, seeing bullish expansions in June can validate a lot of retails expectations --> causing them to not be aware and pre-plan for the bearish reversal ahead. Lastly, with BTC approaching the summer period and volume decreasing, if whales are properly positioned for downside (which we will be able to identify through our #TCT models), it will be extremely easy for them to kickstart an aggressive bearish reversal because a few heavier market sells will have more impact --> adding confluence to our thesis. Conclusion: I am expecting a HTF distribution to get created --> which means a bullish rotation back up towards 83K first --> followed by an aggressive bearish rotation towards the range lows. Break that range low = 59K. How steep the deviations are going to be towards the upside during the distribution process is up to the market makers and not something we have to predict. I have one high probability POI at 86K that could get mitigated. My drawing are not exact predictions, rather an overall idea of how price could somewhat move in the coming 1-2 months. And remember, in the end we always trade confirmations --> not expectations. I'm just giving you an idea in which framework we can be looking to trade the upcoming price action.

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USDCHF - 5.66RR Maybe could've left a runner to catch the ssl below but overall happy with this #TCT

GBPJPY - 3.46RR 75% TP taken and leaving a runner to play into the HTF short re-rentry Lost FTMO account progress by taking too many low quality setups. Will be taking fewer, higher quality setups only from now on #TCT

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Why the Stock Market Is Going to Crash: Part 1: What the 1973 Oil Crisis Teaches Us: The Big Sunday Report: Back in 1973, about 5–7% of the world's oil demand was cut off for roughly 5 months, and the consequences led to the worst crash in history since the Great Depression! Today, around 20% of the WORLD'S OIL DEMAND has been affected for 2 months, and there's no end in sight. This means the situation today is even worse than it was during the 1973 oil crisis, and yet most don't understand the pattern! This brings me to the question of how the $SPX (SP500) behaved then, and we need to compare it with now. In 1973, the #SPX crashed 20% as in October 1973 the Oil Embargo was announced. During that time, the S&P 500 was 7% away from its ATH, recovering from an earlier 17% correction, and the market was in strong euphoria believing in the next rally. Investors thought the worst was over, and out of the sudden the embargo hit the market and we saw a sharp drop of 20% that followed in October 1973. The same we saw in March 2026, the Strait of Hormuz was closed and the S&P 500 reacted with a 10% downside move. This is what I call the first shockwave, but what if I tell you that the real, and much worse downside move happened after the announcement of the end of the oil embargo was made ? The oil embargo officially ended on March 17, 1974. This is when the real crash began, and the S&P 500 crashed 40% within the next 6 months! This was the worst crash since the Great Depression, and only 2008 was worse. The crash didn't happen during the embargo. It happened after the embargo was lifted, when everyone assumed things were going back to normal. The damage to the economy, the inflation, the higher input costs, the broken consumer, had already been done, and the market understood the damage and we see it today as well, as the parallel today is direct. The S&P 500 is making new highs while an oil supply shock is unfolding. Investors are doing exactly what they did in 1973: assuming the issue will resolve and pricing in a soft landing. But once the economic damage becomes visible in earnings and consumer spending, the same delayed reaction is likely to play out, and this is exactly what was addressed by Jerome Powell in the most recent FOMC meeting! Inflation is rising again, the FED can't ease anymore! Part 2: The Private Credit and Banking Risk: There's a type of investment fund called a private credit fund. These funds lend money to large companies, working a lot like hedge funds. The problem is that they borrow huge amounts of money themselves to make bigger loans and bigger profits. This is called leverage, and it's a double edged sword. When things go well, profits are programmed, but when things go badly, losses are programmed too. The situation right now is alarming. Investors are pulling their money out at a record pace, with over $7 billion withdrawn from major private credit funds in late 2025. BlackRock has even blocked some investors from withdrawing money. Loan defaults are at record highs as well, with 5.8% of private credit loans in default as of January 2026, the highest level ever recorded! About 40% of the companies that borrowed from these funds are now burning more cash than they earn, and the stock market is starting to notice, with shares of big private equity and credit firms falling sharply. If these funds collapse, banks go down with them, because banks lent them much of the money in the first place. So what happens if banks fail? Since the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act in the U.S. and the 2014 EU bank rescue rules, governments are no longer supposed to bail out failing banks with taxpayer money. Instead, they use something called a bail-in. They take money from depositors and bondholders and turn it into bank shares. The result is that bank stocks crash and ordinary people lose part of their savings. This is why physical gold and silver are the only real safe haven. I consider owning them a MUST. The Main Warning Signs The first and most important is oil. In 1973, oil first moved up, and the stock market crash came after the Arab nations reopened oil supply. The damage was already done. What we're seeing now in the S&P 500 looks like the final push higher before the expected crash. History is repeating itself. The second is the yield curve inversion. This happens when short-term interest rates rise above long-term rates, which is a clear warning sign. It has come before every U.S. recession in the past 50+ years, usually 12 to 24 months in advance. Back in 2025, I wrote a full report pointing to June 2026 as the likely crash zone, and the report was written in September 2025 and can be found here: x.com/DrProfitCrypto… The third is insider selling at record speed. Company executives and big shareholders have been dumping their own stock at a pace never seen before, especially since August–September 2025. When insiders are selling this aggressively, it tells you everything you need to know and thats something I observe since many months! The fourth is extreme risk appetite, and right now it's at its highest point since 2021. In simple words, risk appetite means how much investors are willing to bet on risky things like stocks instead of keeping their money safe. Right now, investors are throwing money into risky assets like never before. According to EPFR fund flow data, risky assets have seen record net inflows exceeding safe assets by 220bn over the last 4 weeks, the strongest since the 2021 meme-stock peak. To put it simply, people are pouring much more money into stocks than into safe places, and the gap is the biggest we've seen in years. This also aligns with updates to S&P Global's Investment Manager Index risk appetite gauge and Goldman's proprietary RAI, both hitting multi-year highs. This is the same type of euphoria we saw right before the 2021 top, and history shows that when everyone is greedy and chasing the market at the same time, the top is usually very close and this is the moment when risk appetite is this extreme, it's a clear warning sign, and trust me, you dont want to be among the losers who bought the top! The 1929 Parallel: Why You Need to Study the Great Depression Study the Great Depression of 1929, and I can't repeat it often enough. Study it, you need to study 1929! You will notice many similarities. The people who owned physical gold and silver back then were the big winners. Land was sold for even one penny because there was no liquidity at all. Farmers had tons of wheat but there was no one able to buy it. The US President Herbert Hoover famously said right before the great depression, "Prosperity is just around the corner," talking about the stock market and its bullish movements and claiming that nothing could stop the upside move. Everyone in the US was invested in stocks back then, the same as today, as record amounts of retail investors are sitting on stocks currently, the highest amount of retails ever recorded. Now, a hundred years later, we have another president talking about the stock market like no one else. Trump is talking about being tired of winning, or calling it the best economy ever based on the stock market, and ignoring the real economy that is suffering and has no liquidity to breathe currently. I see tons of similarities, and I am scared to even speak it out, but my biggest concern is a repeat of the Great Depression. I am not a doomsday caller, but I am here to remind you that physical gold and silver are more important than ever, no matter what the price says. My Trade and My Targets Let me be clear about where I stand. I am not just talking, I am positioned. I have shorted the S&P 500 at 6400, 6700, 6900, and 7100, and my final order remains open in the 7400 region if the market gives us that opportunity. In my view, we are deep inside top territory, and I am placing my shorts right here, right now, for every single reason laid out above. The signs are everywhere. Spotting the top is not the hard part, anyone paying attention can see it. The hard part is pinpointing the exact target on the way down, because that depends entirely on one thing: will the FED print again? And the answer that history teached us is simple. The FED only starts to print once a crisis hits, and now lets ask the same for 2008, where the FED wasnt able to print more money, and the Lehman crisis and the 2008 crash started and how likely is it in the current time ? In 2008, the FED did not intervene to save Lehman Brothers. Everyone expected a rescue, everyone assumed the FED would step in like it did with Bear Stearns just months earlier. But the FED let Lehman fail, the bank went bankrupt, and the entire financial system nearly collapsed with it. That single decision changed everything. It triggered the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, and it is the exact reason the bail-in laws I mentioned earlier even exist today. Dodd Frank in the US and the EU bank rescue rules were both born directly out of the chaos of 2008, designed so that taxpayers would never again foot the bill. Next time, depositors and bondholders pay, and this is where the real risk hits the ordinary person. In simple words, if your bank fails, the government will not save it with taxpayer money like in 2008. Instead, the bank takes a part of your savings, anything sitting in your account, and converts it into worthless bank shares of the failing bank. Your money is gone, replaced by stock in a bank that just collapsed. In the EU, deposits up to €100,000 are technically protected by deposit insurance, and in the U.S. up to $250,000 by the FDIC, but anything above that is fair game, and history has already shown us this is not theory. It happened in Cyprus in 2013, where depositors lost a huge chunk of their savings overnight, and this will let the fire of the crash expand. So for my targets, I see three realistic scenarios, and they all depend on the FED: Scenario 1: The FED panics and prints again. If inflation cools enough to give them room, they flood the system with liquidity, and the crash is contained to a sharp but limited drop. This is the most "comfortable" outcome for the market. Scenario 2: The FED is trapped by inflation and cannot print. With inflation rising again, as Powell himself just confirmed, the FED may have its hands tied. No money printing, no rescue, and the market bleeds out for months. This is the painful, drawn-out scenario. Scenario 3: A full 2008-style collapse. The FED lets something break, just like they let Lehman break, and the entire system cracks open. Bail-ins get activated, banks fall, savings get wiped, and the SP 500 sees a crash on the scale of 2008 or worse. This is a very real option, and I refuse to take it off the table. I am positioned for all three, and depends on the targets the probability that we are at top area is extreme high. The only question left is how deep the FED is willing to let this fall, and based on inflation, based on Powell's own words, and based on the political climate, I believe the risk of scenario 2 or 3 is far higher than the market is currently pricing in. The top is in, or it is extremely close. I am short, and I am staying short with an invalidation once the FED starts printing once again! The next weeks will be very important and many will miss out on real time updates and thats where premium is worth everything. It costs $59 / month and thats less than some of the trading fees you are paying! I cant repeat it more often but premium offers insights you are getting no-where else. Join here: whop.com/joined/drprofi…

Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto

9 months ago

MACRO ECONOMY IS IN BIG DANGER! First and more importantly, no matter when the recession crash happens, either in the next weeks or in Q1-Q2 2026 as described below, the 90-94k Bitcoin target remains regardless! The yield curve is one of the best leading indicators of the

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425 241 2K 509K 961

If you focus on profits, you lose, If you focus on the process, you start winning. Patience is the key to success.

#Bitcoin – What’s Next? The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know 🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: A few days ago, I gave a long at the 71k region and mentioned targets of the 79–84k region, and I am now changing something in the plan! I previously said that between 79–84k I would take profit of the long and ADD more SHORTS, this strategy has now changed and is very important to understand! My long from the 71k region remains open, but my take profit has changed. Instead of taking profits between 79–84k, I will take HALF OF THE POSITION SIZE as profit at the 76,200 region, and this is also very important to understand! I am NOT adding short orders at 76,200, but still between 79–84k in case the market allows a move there. The other half of the long will also be closed between 79–84k if the market reaches that region. Once 76,200 is hit, I will take profit on half of the position size of the long and move the stop loss to entry to avoid any loss and secure 50% of the profit. I hope this makes sense now. You might wonder where this shift comes from, and I need to admit a small mistake in my calculation: the probability of hitting 76k is very high, but the probability of reaching 79–84k is currently medium. Because of this, I am adjusting my take profit areas. Overall, the short from 115–125k remains open, and additional short orders are placed between 79–84k in case the market reaches that zone, I am not interested to add short orders at 76k region, just if we move higher and we see higher FOMO, I would be interested to add between 79-84k, not earlier. I am expecting a large downside move in the coming weeks, it should not take much longer, as the move is very close. I am expecting the S&P 500 to crash within the next two months, with a downside move of more than 35%. In comparison, the S&P 500 dropped 34% during the COVID black swan event. I am expecting a much larger downside move this time, with a heavy domino effect. I am expecting a large trap for bulls as well, something market makers will use to send us lower into the 50s area and even further afterward. We have not bottomed out. The only question now is: how high will we rise before continuing downward? Will it be 76k before rejection, or will we reach the 79–84k region first? This question needs more time to be answered with clarity. While I see the probability of 76k as extremely high, I currently see 79–84k as medium probability, and therefore I am adjusting my trade accordingly. Profit is the only option and I am using every move to make a profit, no matter what my bias are! As always, I am very transparent with you regarding my trades and decisions, and I want to personally thank you all for the support you are giving. Congratulations to everyone who took the short with me at the exact top, I will keep it open and realize it at much lower levels than where we are now. Join DrProfit Premium now: whop.com/joined/drprofi…

AUDUSD - 3.5RR evaluation full tp on the weakly open. Wanted to take a 75% partial and try to play it down to the demand for a HTF continuation but set tp at the TT before weekly close which got immediately got taken out on the open. 50% on evaluation progress now.

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I am buying #Bitcoin at $68,600 Expecting a fake pump to 78-88k Big downside move afterwards

How to study TCT in the most effective way: 1. Mentorship 2024 Watch the mentorship 2024 on youtube (for free). This will lay the foundation of your understanding of smart money concepts and all the rules regarding MS, Ranges, Supply & Demand, Liquidity and most importantly: It will introduce you to the most effective way of trading Wyckoff Link: youtu.be/hN5Lt9T2OvE?si… 2. Mentorship 2025 Continue with the mentorship 2025 which is an advanced continuation of 2024. The foundation remains the same, it just dives deeper into high probability TCT models and all the required variables to trade TCT with extreme confidence. Only accesible (for free) within the private discord community Link: discord.gg/P9srFJ7X4r 3. Practice Start backtesting and practicing with the help of my post trading analyses videos on Youtube, example given: - Check the pair I traded and on which date - Before continuing with the video, try to find and manage the trade yourself - Afterwards watch me elaborate on the given price action - Compare thought processes and execution - Reflect, Learn, Repeat 4. Live trading with me This step can be combined with step 3. Attend the livestreams during London- and NY open, watch me elaborate on live price action, live execution. Study my continious updates inside of the server and ask me questions during educational classes. I have said this before and I will say it again: Live trading is the best teacher Do all of this for 3-6 months and you will be completely transformed. Input = Output.

@Larskooistra_ I mean generally during the week. And then also is your trade timing on the weekend restricted to any specific times or not?

@foxianorg @Sherlockwhale @D3LTA_0 @Saltwayer_ @PikaCrypto5 @CaptainCypto @Belovy_official @RajaBilal04 Sherlock is goated

𝗙𝗢𝗫𝗜𝗔𝗡 𝗗𝗘𝗖𝗘𝗠𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗦 📊 +83% Winrate and +940% Gains The last month of 2025 closed like this on Foxian, the market was very Choppy, but Foxian analysts were able to record good statistics🔥 Let's go for a year full of Wins and green pnls, we promise 2026 will be even better on Foxian

@Sherlockwhale @foxianorg Sherlock is my goat 🐐