Raumarci Investments @raumarci

Economic Research. Market Insight. Investment Perspective. raumarci.com Joined June 2020

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

7 days ago

Quite impressive work by @bank_indonesia

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a week ago

BI hiked 25bp + surged SRBI to 900+ Tn, aggressively draining rupiah from market. Dual tightening should stabilize currency. If rupiah strengthens, policy works. If weakness persists, fiscal concerns override monetary tools.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a week ago

BI +25bp to 5.50% claims rupiah stability. Rates alone don’t fix currency weakness driven by fiscal deficits and capital flight. Without credible fiscal consolidation, monetary tightening is theater. Structure requires both.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

3 weeks ago

BI hiked 50bp to 5.25%, but long yields barely flinched—10Y flat despite tightening. Market pricing suggests credibility erosion: policy moves now carry less signal when framework appears inconsistent. Rates alone don’t anchor expectations when trust is broken.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

4 weeks ago

Indonesia’s stock market is now the worst performer globally this year. The IDX Composite Index has slumped 29.51% YTD, trailing every major market worldwide. Today’s 3.54% decline extends the selloff amid persistent foreign outflows.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

4 weeks ago

Foreign capital flows reverse sharply under Prabowo presidency. Cumulative outflows of 120 trillion Rp since October across stocks, bonds and central bank facilities. Government bonds showed brief inflows, but broader trend remains negative.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a month ago

Bank Indonesia increases SRBI issuance to offset outflows from foreign investors exiting Indonesian equities and sovereign bonds. Domestic stabilization tool as market participants reassess exposures. #Indonesia

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a month ago

Indonesia faces broad market outflows across stocks, bonds, and SRBIs as rupiah weakens to 17,295. Capital flight signals investor caution amid global headwinds and domestic uncertainty.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a month ago

Indonesia’s credit rating steady at moderate risk across major agencies. Strong reserves and fiscal discipline supporting outlook, though commodity exposure remains a watch point.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

a month ago

The Indonesian rupiah’s long-term depreciation reflects persistent structural pressures across trade, inflation, and capital allocation dynamics. Our latest report explores the implications for IDR holders and Indonesia’s macro outlook. Full report: drive.google.com/file/d/1WVtj1z…

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

2 months ago

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

4 months ago

Crude oil surges to $80/bbl as Strait of Hormuz traffic remains at a standstill. Prices up 19.3% in a week as supply chain risks intensify in the world’s most critical energy chokepoint.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

4 months ago

IDXFINANCE has been a leading benchmark on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for 7 years. Raumarci Investments remains heavily invested, betting on the sector as the primary engine for the Indonesian consumer market.

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Raumarci Investments @raumarci

4 months ago

Today marks one of the worst days in the Southeast Asian stock exchanges, with the IDX leading at -12.37% YTD. However, Raumarci Investments still holds strong with a 10.24% profit as of Wednesday, 4 March 2026