Optuma @Optuma
Empowering Traders, Analysts, and Portfolio Managers to discover unique market opportunities with powerful software and valuable education. optuma.com Brisbane, Australia Joined May 2009-
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The net @AAIISentiment spread narrowed this week to -2.8 as Bulls bounce to a 1-month high (36.6%) and Bears drop to 39.4%. Still negative for 5th straight week, but the momentum may be shifting.
Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @Optuma The bulls keep stacking evidence, with the S&P 500 Advance / Decline Line making new record highs. Get the full breakdown in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️ thechartreport.com/06-15-26
The daily RRG chart shows the relative weakening of $XLK on the right side as $XLV, $XLF, and $XLI move into the Leading quadrant. Each tail covers the last 30 trading days, and 6 sectors are now improving with increasing relative momentum (heading NorthEast or East). Only $XLY is Lagging.
@charliebilello $SPCXtraded over $82B of stock on Friday, or 17% of the value of all trading of $SPX members (2x $MU, and 3x $TSLA, $SNDK, & $NVDA).
$SPCX traded over $82B of stock on Friday, or 17% of the value of all trading of $SPX members (2x $MU, and 3x $TSLA, $SNDK, & $NVDA).
S&P1500 cumulative advance/decline line making new highs, driven by the smallcaps S&P600 as S&P500 and S&P400 midcaps still below previous highs:
Over the last year the $SPX has been an average of 2% off its high, and is about to go into 5% pullback territory for the 1st time in 45 days. Of the sectors, $XLRE & $XLV are within 5%, and only $XLK is more than 10%:
After 7 trading days, this is the worst start for June for $SPX since 2022 (-2.56%), led by $XLK (-5.34%, 3rd worst ever) and $XLC (-3.64%, worst since began in 2018). Best start since 2019 for $XLV (+3.41%):
The $SPX may have dropped 2.6% on Friday, but 237 stocks closed higher (the most ever on a -2.5% day). Previous best 153 on March 10th 2025.
$SPX is within 0.5% of its all-time high, but 5 of the top 10 companies are down > 10%. $META & $MSFT are > 20%:
@angrybear168 Bulls have outnumbered Bears only 3 times in the 9 weeks following the March 30th low ($SPX +15%).
Market sentiment remains cautious. AAII Bulls crept up to 36.3% as Bears retreated to Neutral, keeping the bull-bear spread negative for a 3rd straight week.
For the 1st time ever, the $SPX has made all-time closing highs the last 5 straight days, with more stocks declining than advancing on each day.
Is breadth sending a warning signal? Join me live at 8 PM ET tonight as I break down what the market is really telling us. 👉 youtube.com/live/SxSb_UJxv…
Since the March 30th low, only 108 $SPX members (21%) have outperformed the index, 56 of which are tech stocks. These are the best performers from the other sectors, led by $HUM (+65% vs the index) & $CNC (+63%) in Health care $XLV:
$XLK +19.8% in May & 43.7% over the last 2 months - its best 2 month period since 2022. $XLV (+2.4%) & $XLY (+2.1%) the only other sectors up in May. In fact, 5 made new all-time relative monthly lows against the $SPX:
Weekly advance / decline for $SPX diverged again this week, with the index gaining 1.4% despite 46 more stocks losing than gaining.
Yesterday marked the 21st ATH for $SPX, 20th for Equal-Weight, and 11th for the Dow. Of all sectors, only $XLK has made new highs since March. In fact, all 16 of its ATHs this year compressed into the last few weeks (post-April 16th). Sector counts:
$VIX closed below 16 for the 1st time since Jan 22nd. After dropping below 16 (following a spike > 30), the $SPX is higher one month later 79% of the time, averaging a +1.1% gain (14 occurrences since 2000; 11 up, 3 down).
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